All data was manually compiled and is subject to human error.
Introduction
The San Clemente is a 8 furlong race over the turf for 3-year-old fillies at Del Mar. First run in 1976, it’s currently one of the stakes races featured on Del Mar’s opening weekend.
A note to screen reader users. The interactive charts on this site are built using Google Charts. There are two major elements to each chart, the images used to display the chart and a tabular representation of the data within the chart. Unfortunately the charts are structured to announce all of the images before announcing the tabular data. In some cases this will mean upwards of 50 images get announced before the data. If you'd like to provide feedback please visit the Accessibility Statement for information.
Below is a look at data from a variety of angles to see what has produced winners in the San Clemente from 1991-2018.
Charts are interactive, hover over or touch bars and lines for more information.
Odds are shown as listed in the results charts. Hover-over or touch each bar for $2 payout.
Outlier Sicy d’Alsace (FR) (41.4-1) has been excluded from the chart below to allow for better overall visualization. Outliers are included in the averages and medians.
1991-2018
Average $1 Odds:
$7.00
Median $1 Odds:
$5.30
2010-2018
Average $1 Odds:
$7.50
Median $1 Odds:
$5.90
1991-2018
Average $2 Win:
$16.10
Median $2 Win:
$12.70
2010-2018
Average $2 Win:
$17.00
Median $2 Win:
$13.80
San Clemente Bettors’ Choice and Field Size 1991-2018
Bettors’ Choice is the ranked order of the field by final odds: The favorite is the first choice, the second favorite is the second choice and so on. For example, 1991 winner Flawlessly was 1st choice in a 9 horse field.
To read the charts below, 0 on the vertical axis is the lead, any distance behind the leader is below 0 and any distance above 0 is the amount the leader is ahead of the next horse. At the bottom are the points of call as they correspond to the charts. Each line is a horse, and you can hover over the point of call for each line to see more information about the horse.
For example, if you hover over the bottom-most line in the first chart, at the 1/2 mile mark you’ll see that 2000 winner Uncharted Haven (GB) was 13.75 lengths behind the leader at this point in the race.
Position at the 1/2 mile mark
Speed:
In the lead
Presser/Stalker:
Between .1 and 3 lengths off leader
Off the pace:
Between 3 and 6 lengths off the leader
Deep closer:
More than 6 lengths off the leader
The San Clemente has been predominately won by stalker/pressers, who have had a slight edge over off-the-pace runners since 1991. In the last 10 years off-the-pace has produced 50% of the winners.
A closer look at winning running styles by decade.
The majority of San Clemente winners have come from the now closed Hollywood Park. In the last 10 years locals have still had the edge but there’s been an uptick of winners variety of non-California tracks (30%).
Days Since Last Race 1991-2018
Average Days Since Last Race:
46.21
Median Days Since Last Race:
35.5
San Clemente Winners Placing in Prior Race 1991-2018
Approximately half of San Clemente winners won their prior race and almost three quarters of the winners finished in the money, or no worse than third, last out.
The San Clemente has generally been a formful race where favorites have only slightly underperformed the generally accepted average favorite win rate of 35% to win 32.1% of the time since 1991. It’s been a different story over the last 10 years with favorites only winning twice.
Thanks to a fair share of double digit payouts, average winning odds since 1991 are 7-1 with a median of 5.3-1 and an average $16.10 payout for a $2 win ticket. Since 2010 those averages have ticked up to 7.5-1 and $17.00 to win with median odds of 5.9-0. Notably 7 of the last 10 winners have paid over $10 to win.
The winner on average has been the 3rd choice (3.29) since 1991 and almost 4th (3.91) choice since 2010. The favorite has an average finish position of 2nd (2.71) since 1991 and 2.56 since 2010.
Stalker/pressers have had a slight edge over off-the-pace runners since 1991 but off-the-pace has produced 50% of the last 10 winners.
Winners have predominately come from California since 1991 and that trend has remained in tact over the last 10 years. However 30% of the last winners made their prior start at a track outside of California. Field size has been well above the 2017 average of 7.7 starters with an average of 9.11 starters since 1991 and 9.55 starters since 2010.
