All data was manually compiled and is subject to human error.
Introduction
The Kentucky Jockey Club is a 8.5 furlong race over the dirt for 2-year-olds at Churchill Downs. First run in 1920, it's currently a Kentucky Derby Points race.
A note to screen reader users. The interactive charts on this site are built using Google Charts. There are two major elements to each chart, the images used to display the chart and a tabular representation of the data within the chart. Unfortunately the charts are structured to announce all of the images before announcing the tabular data. In some cases this will mean upwards of 50 images get announced before the data. If you'd like to provide feedback please visit the Accessibility Statement for information.
Below is a look at data from a variety of angles to see what has produced winners in the Kentucky Jockey Club from 1991-2018.
Charts are interactive, hover over or touch bars and lines for more information.
Bettors’ Choice is the ranked order of the field by final odds: The favorite is the first choice, the second favorite is the second choice and so on. For example, 1991 winner Dance Floor was 1st choice in a 10 horse field.
1991-2018
Average Choice of Winner:
2.36
Average Field Size:
9.82
Average Favorite Finish Position:
3.61
2010-2018
Average Choice of Winner:
1.89
Average Field Size:
11.56
Average Favorite Finish Position:
3.73
Kentucky Jockey Club Winning Running Styles 1991-2018
To read the charts below, 0 on the vertical axis is the lead, any distance behind the leader is below 0 and any distance above 0 is the amount the leader is ahead of the next horse. At the bottom are the points of call as they correspond to the charts. Each line is a horse, and you can hover over the point of call for each line to see more information about the horse.
For example, if you hover over the bottom-most line in the first chart, at the 1/2 mile mark you’ll see that in 2002, winner Soto was 14.25 lengths behind the leader at this point in the race.
Position at the 1/2 mile mark
Speed:
In the lead
Presser/Stalker:
Between .1 and 3 lengths off leader
Off the pace:
Between 3 and 6 lengths off the leader
Deep closer:
More than 6 lengths off the leader
The Kentucky Jockey Club has been predominately won by stalkers/pressers (50%), that trend has held steady over the last 10 years.
A closer look at winning running styles by decade.
Kentucky Jockey Club Winning Running Styles 1991-1999
The majority of Kentucky Jockey Club winners have come from Churchill Downs since 1991 and that trend has continued over the past 10 years. Belmont has sent two winners in the past decade. Winners have generally raced within the last month.
Days Since Last Race 1991-2018
Average Days Since Last Race:
28.96
Median Days Since Last Race:
27
Kentucky Jockey Club Winners Placing in Prior Race 1991-2018
Kentucky Jockey Club winners have won their previous start almost 40% of the time and finished in the money (first, second or third) almost 80% of the time.
Kentucky Jockey Club Winners Prior Career Starts 1991-2018
The Kentucky Jockey Club has been a notably consistent and formful race since 1991 with no double digit odds winners in the time frame.
The average winning odds since 1991 are 3.7-1 with a median of 3.4-1 and an average $9.40 payout for a $2 win ticket. Since 2010 those numbers have dipped to average odds of 3.5-1, median odds of 3.4-1 and $9.00 to win.
The winner on average has been the 2nd choice (2.36) since 1991 and dropped slightly (1.89) since 2010. The favorite has had an average finish position of 3rd (3.61) since 1991, also dropping slightly to 3.73 since 2010. In the last decade winners have been no worse than 3rd choice.
Stalkers/Pressers have performed best since 1991 winning 50% of the time, a trend that has continued over the last 10 years.
Not surprisingly winners have come mostly from the host track of Churchill Downs. In the last ten years Belmont has sent two winners. Field size has been slightly above the 2017 average of 7.7 starters with an average of 9.82 starters since 1991 and jumped to an average of 11.56 starters since 2010.
