Thoroughbred Horse Racing

Cigar Mile Stakes Profile

Originally published on

Disclaimer

All data was manually compiled and is subject to human error.

Introduction

The Cigar Mile is a 8 furlong race over the dirt for 3-year-olds and up at Aqueduct. First run in 1988 as the NYRA Mile, it was renamed for 1994 winner Cigar in 1997. The race was not run in 1993.

A note to screen reader users. The interactive charts on this site are built using Google Charts. There are two major elements to each chart, the images used to display the chart and a tabular representation of the data within the chart. Unfortunately the charts are structured to announce all of the images before announcing the tabular data. In some cases this will mean upwards of 50 images get announced before the data. If you'd like to provide feedback please visit the Accessibility Statement for information.

Below is a look at data from a variety of angles to see what has produced winners in the Cigar Mile from 1991-2018.


Charts are interactive, hover over or touch bars and lines for more information.

All data is via Equibase.

Heads Up!

Some charts will be more legible viewed in landscape.


Cigar Mile Winners Odds & Payouts 1991-2018

(permalink)

Odds are shown as listed in the results charts. Hover-over or touch each bar for $2 payout.

Purge (2006) and Jersey Town (2010) are excluded from the chart below as outliers at $1 odds of 25.5-1 and 34.7-1. Outliers are included in the averages and medians.

$1 Odds19911992199419951996199719981999200020012002200320042006200720082009201120122013201420152016201720181234567891011121314151617Cigar Mile Winners $1 Odds 1991-2018
Year$1 Odds
19915
19923.9
19948.9
199516.1
199611.4
19979.6
19988.5
19992.95
20002.4
20012.45
20024.5
20030.6
200412
20060.25
20072.35
20088.9
20093.35
20111.05
20122.75
20136.5
20144.8
20152.2
20161.5
20171.75
20185.4

1991-2018

Average $1 Odds:
$7.00
Median $1 Odds:
$4.50

2010-2018

Average $1 Odds:
$6.70
Median $1 Odds:
$2.75

1991-2018

Average $2 Win:
$16.00
Median $2 Win:
$11.00

2010-2018

Average $2 Win:
$15.40
Median $2 Win:
$7.50

Cigar Mile Bettors’ Choice and Field Size 1991-2018

(permalink)

Bettors’ Choice is the ranked order of the field by final odds: The favorite is the first choice, the second favorite is the second choice and so on. For example, 1991 winner Rubiano was 4th choice in a 15 horse field.

Bettors' ChoiceField Size199119921994199519961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018123456789101112131415Cigar Mile Winners Bettors' Choice & Field Size 1991-2018
YearBettors' ChoiceField Size
1991415
199237
1994612
1995613
1996714
1997612
199848
199929
2000111
200119
200248
200317
200448
2005811
200615
200725
200879
200946
201099
201116
201225
2013510
201449
201526
2016110
2017110
201838

1991-2018

Average Choice of Winner:
3.67
Average Field Size:
8.96
Average Favorite Finish Position:
3.82

2010-2018

Average Choice of Winner:
3.11
Average Field Size:
8.11
Average Favorite Finish Position:
3
0%20%40%60%80%100%25.9% WinningFavs48.1% Favs ITMCigar Mile Favorites 1991-2018
Fav
720
1314

Cigar Mile Winning Running Styles 1991-2018

(permalink)

To read the charts below, 0 on the vertical axis is the lead, any distance behind the leader is below 0 and any distance above 0 is the amount the leader is ahead of the next horse. At the bottom are the points of call as they correspond to the charts. Each line is a horse, and you can hover over the point of call for each line to see more information about the horse.

For example, if you hover over the bottom-most line in the first chart, at the 1/2 mile mark you’ll see that 1997 winner Devious Course was 11 lengths behind the leader at this point in the race.

Position at the 1/2 mile mark

Speed:
In the lead
Presser/Stalker:
Between .1 and 3 lengths off leader
Off the pace:
Between 3 and 6 lengths off the leader
Deep closer:
More than 6 lengths off the leader
Deep CloserOff the PaceStalker/PresserSpeed0%20%40%60%80%100%14.8% Deep Closer14.8% Off the Pace55.6% Stalker/Presser14.8% SpeedCigar Mile Winning Running Styles 1991-2018
Running StyleDeep CloserOff the PaceStalker/PresserSpeed
44153

The Cigar Mile has been predominately won by stalker/pressers since 1991 (55.6%) and that trend has continue over the past 10 years (50%).

A closer look at winning running styles by decade.

Cigar Mile Winning Running Styles 1991-1999

(permalink)

Cigar Mile Winning Running Styles 2000-2009

(permalink)

Cigar Mile Winning Running Styles 2010-2018

(permalink)

Cigar Mile Winners Last Track & Days Since 1991-2018

(permalink)

The majority of Cigar Mile winners have come from Belmont Park.

1234567891011Belmont ParkAqueductSanta AnitaDel MarMeadowlandsChurchill DownsGulfstream ParkKeenelandParxCigar Mile Winners Last Track Raced 1991-2018
Track Last Raced# of Winners
Belmont Park11
Aqueduct4
Santa Anita4
Del Mar2
Meadowlands2
Churchill Downs1
Gulfstream Park1
Keeneland1
Parx1

Days Since Last Race 1991-2018

Average Days Since Last Race:
4.11
Median Days Since Last Race:
38

Cigar Mile Winners Placing in Prior Race 1991-2018

(permalink)

Cigar Mile winners have won their prior race 33% of the time, and finished in the money (first, second or third) 63% of the time.

20%40%60%80%33.3% Won Prior Race63% In the Money Prior RaceCigar Mile Winners Finish Prior Race 1991-2018
Last Out
918
1710

Cigar Mile Winners By Age 1991-2018

Permalink

The majority of winners and starters since 1991 have been 4-year-olds. No 6-year-olds have won and there have been no starters older than 7-year-old in the time frame.

12345678910113-year-olds4-year-olds5-year-olds7-year-oldsCigar Mile Winners Age 1991-2018
Age of Winner# of Winners
3-year-olds8
4-year-olds11
5-year-olds7
7-year-olds1

Cigar Mile Odds by Age 1991-2018

(permalink)

Odds are listed as $1 odds (e.g., $9.30 is equal to 9-1 odds on the tote board).

AgeAverage Starter OddsAverage Winner Odds
3 year-olds$16.40$5.40
4 year-olds$21.80$9.30
5 year-olds$13.60$5.10
6 year-olds$20.900
7 year-olds$14.40$6.50

Cigar Mile All Starters by Age 1991-2018

(permalink)
3 yos4 yos5 yos6 yos7 yos0%20%40%60%80%100%26.1% 3 yos42.7% 4 yos19.5% 5 yos8.7% 6yosCigar Mile All Starters by Age 1991-2018
Age of Runner3 yos4 yos5 yos6 yos7 yos
6310347217

Cigar Mile Win % by Age 1991-2018

Permalink
3-year-olds4-year-olds5-year-olds6-year-olds7-year-olds0%20%40%60%80%100%12.7%10.6%14.8%14.2%87.3%89.3%85.1%100%85.7%Cigar Mile Win Rate by Age 1991-2018
AgeWinnersNon-Winners
3-year-olds855
4-year-olds1192
5-year-olds740
6-year-olds021
7-year-olds16

A/E Ratio by Age 1991-2018 Permalink

AgeAverage vs Expected Value Ratio (A/E)
3 year-olds.98
4 year-olds1.32
5 year-olds1.08
6 year-olds0
7 year-olds1.28

Numbers over 1 outperform expected value and numbers less than 1 underperform expected value. Learn more about how A/E ratio is calculated and how it should be interpreted.

With the exception of 6-year-olds, each age group has performed reasonably well in relation to number of starters. 3-year-olds have slightly under performed their expected value.


Cigar Mile Multiple Winners & Run Backs 1991-2018

(permalink)

Congaree (2002-2003) is only two-time winner in the time frame.

A run back is defined as a starter who made a prior start in the race. For example Congaree made his first Cigar Mile start in 2002 and ran back to win in 2003.

0%20%40%60%80%100%21.4% Winning Run Backs42.99% ITM Run BacksCigar Mile Run Backs 1991-2018
Runback
622
1216

Starters who have previously run in the Cigar Mile have performed relatively well to win 21.4% of the time and run in the money 42.9% of the time.


Cigar Mile Fillies and Mares 1991-2018

(permalink)

Groupie Doll is the only mare to run in the Cigar Mile in the time frame. In 2012 she finished second as the favorite and in 2013 she finished 4th.

0%20%40%60%80%100%0% Winning Fillies/Mares50% Fillies/Mares ITMCigar Mile Fillies and Mares 1991-2018
Fav
02
11

The Cigar Mile has generally been an interesting betting race where favorites have under-performed and an occasional longshot wins.

The average winning odds since 1991 are 7-1 with a median of 4.5-1 and an average $16.00 payout for a $2 win ticket. Since 2010 those averages have dipped slightly to average odds of 6.7-1 and $15.40 to win. Medians since 2010 dropped much more to odds of 2.7-1 and $7.50 to win.

Favorites have unperformed the generally accepted average favorite win rate of 35% to win 25.9% of the time since 1991 and only 30% in the last 10 years.

The winner on average has been the 3rd choice (3.67) since 1991 and remained so since 2010 (3.11). The favorite has an average finish position of 3rd (3.82) since 1991 and has improved slightly since 2010 (3).

Stalkers/Pressers have performed best since 1991 winning 55.6% of the time. This trend has roughly continued in the past ten years with stalker/pressers winning 50% of the time.

Winners have predominately come from Belmont Park since 1991. Field size has been above the 2017 average of 7.7 starters with an average of 8.96 starters since 1991 and 8.11 starters since 2010.

Enjoying this site? Leave me a tip at Ko-fi!